What is the fair value of LYB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LYB to be between $61.64 and $65.83. The current price is $63.69.

What is the analyst price target for LYB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LYB is $68.35. This implies a potential upside of 7.3% from current levels.

LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A

INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

$63.69

-0.61 (-0.95%) ▼

5d: -1.65%

30d: +1.42%

90d: +0.35%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 30, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 9, 2026 at $64.65 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: LYB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -30.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$37.01

Based on -13.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$22.98

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $63.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.64 to $65.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 396.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $61.64 - $65.83

Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 67.6%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.35)
WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $61.64 - $65.83

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.50

Resistance Level $67.49

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.84

Wall Street Target $68.35 (+7.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 396.0%

Profit Margin -1.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.8 vs 12.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $59.30 (-7%)

2-Year Target $55.20 (-13%)

3-Year Target $51.39 (-19%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→12) $63.72 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -30.4%) $95.17 (+49%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: -30.4%) $46.43 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 8.4, Growth: -30.4%) $39.47 (-38%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 12.2

Stabilization Target: $78.96 (+24.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +24.0%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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