LYB LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS Best Chemicals Stocks 2026 →

LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$60.60
+1.10 (+1.85%) ▲
5d: -8.31% 30d: +2.0% 90d: -3.5%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$59.73 – $65.98
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.5x CHEAP
vs 11.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$72.28
+19.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$57.51 / $68.74
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: LYB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $60.72 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.57
Based on -12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.33
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $60.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.73 to $65.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 396.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.51, while resistance sits at $68.74.

Market Sentiment: LYB scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.28 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $59.73 - $65.98
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $59.73 - $65.98
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $57.51
Resistance Level $68.74
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($72.28)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.48
Wall Street Target $72.28 (+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 396.0%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.5 vs 11.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $56.42 (-7%)
2-Year Target $52.53 (-13%)
3-Year Target $48.90 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→12) $60.87 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -28.5%) $92.54 (+53%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: -28.5%) $44.18 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 8.1, Growth: -28.5%) $37.55 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.13
Bull Case $101.30 (+67%)
Analyst growth 54.8%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case $92.09 (+52%)
Market implied 54.8%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case $40.46 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 11.8
Stabilization Target: $75.43 (+24.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +24.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LYB)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: User on StockTwits expressed a bullish outlook on $LYB, mentioning $ADUR but no explanation was provided. No recent news articles were available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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