Is LYB stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, LYB is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LYB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of LYB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LYB to be between $58.83 and $64.31. The current price is $67.53.

What is the analyst price target for LYB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LYB is $69.53. This implies a potential upside of 3.0% from current levels.

LYB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A

INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

$67.53

-0.57 (-0.84%) ▼

5d: +5.91%

30d: +9.41%

90d: -3.64%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your LYB Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $59.59 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LYB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -30.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$37.18

Based on -13.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$23.09

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $67.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.83 to $64.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 396.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LYB scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $58.83 - $64.31

Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 19.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.53)
WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $58.83 - $64.31

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $60.07

Resistance Level $69.13

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.52

Wall Street Target $69.53 (+3.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 396.0%

Profit Margin -1.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 10.5 vs 12.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $63.95 (-5%)

2-Year Target $60.56 (-10%)

3-Year Target $57.35 (-15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $67.59 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -30.5%) $93.91 (+39%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: -30.5%) $49.23 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: -30.5%) $41.84 (-38%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 12.4

Stabilization Target: $79.59 (+17.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +17.9%

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ai Investments Holdings … SELL 842 shares 2026-03-09

Ai Investments Holdings … SELL 384548 shares 2026-03-09

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Advanced LYB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYB price and gamma walls.

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