LYB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A
$56.35
0.96 (1.73%)
▲
5d:
+5.6%
30d:
-11.46%
90d:
-22.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
17d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.37
Based on -9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $56.35, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.69 to $64.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.41 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.41 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$54.69 -
$64.77
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($70.41)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.69 -
$64.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.02
Resistance Level
$69.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.31
Wall Street Target
$70.41
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.5%
Profit Margin
-2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.72
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$45.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$41.08
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→13)
$63.25
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -22.9%)
$107.63
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: -22.9%)
$41.08
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -22.9%)
$34.92
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$86.77
(+54.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
842 shares
2026-03-09
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
384548 shares
2026-03-09
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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