MFIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MFIC - MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Common Stock
$10.40
-0.47 (-4.32%)
▼
5d:
-3.97%
30d:
-14.19%
90d:
-2.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MFIC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MFIC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.66
Based on -3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MFIC is currently trading at $10.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.67 to $11.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MFIC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MFIC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.67 -
$11.72
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.67 -
$11.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.39
Resistance Level
$11.02
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.28
Wall Street Target
$11.38
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.38
(0%)
2-Year Target
$10.36
(0%)
3-Year Target
$10.34
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$10.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -11.0%)
$20.05
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: -11.0%)
$7.58
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -11.0%)
$6.44
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 8.63 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.26
Bull Case
$13.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$10.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$8.29
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.42
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MFIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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