MFIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MFIC - MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Common Stock
$9.77
-0.10 (-1.01%)
▼
5d:
-2.2%
30d:
-4.5%
90d:
-16.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MFIC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MFIC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.49
Based on -3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MFIC is currently trading at $9.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.80 to $10.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.25 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.25 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.80 -
$10.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.80 -
$10.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.22
Resistance Level
$11.02
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.89
Wall Street Target
$11.25
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.61
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.46
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$9.31
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$9.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -11.2%)
$19.67
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -11.2%)
$7.12
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -11.2%)
$6.05
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 7.93 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.23
Bull Case
$11.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$9.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$7.47
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.28
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MFIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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