MFIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MFIC - MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Common Stock
$9.76
-0.06 (-0.61%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.1%
30d:
+3.17%
90d:
-8.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MFIC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MFIC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.42
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MFIC is currently trading at $9.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.57 to $9.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.57 -
$9.83
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.57 -
$9.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.45
Resistance Level
$9.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.78
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
-9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.57
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.39
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$9.21
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
$9.71
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -16.1%)
$18.34
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: -16.1%)
$7.12
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: -16.1%)
$6.05
(-38%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$10.28
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MFIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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