MidCap Financial Investment (MFIC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MFIC - MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Common Stock
$9.04
-0.01 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-5.83%
30d:
-6.32%
90d:
-12.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MFIC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MFIC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.30
Based on -6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MFIC is currently trading at $9.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.39 to $9.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MFIC scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.41 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MFIC scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.41 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.39 -
$9.84
Company Quality Score
25/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.41)
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.39 -
$9.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.01
Resistance Level
$9.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.25
Wall Street Target
$10.41
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
-9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.68
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$8.33
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$8.00
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$9.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -16.5%)
$18.34
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: -16.5%)
$6.59
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: -16.5%)
$5.60
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$10.23
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MFIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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