MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$17.97
0.52 (2.95%)
▲
5d:
+7.25%
30d:
+36.2%
90d:
+44.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGNI trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MGNI trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.02
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $17.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.40 to $16.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGNI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.07 (+26.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGNI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.07 (+26.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.40 -
$16.90
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($22.07)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 4.9% growth expectation is conservative given 230% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.40 -
$16.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.18
Resistance Level
$15.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.12
Wall Street Target
$22.07
(+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
230.0%
Profit Margin
22.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.31
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$19.20
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$20.14
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$37.61
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 11.8%)
$24.38
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$20.72
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$23.17
(+33%)
Analyst growth 17.7%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$21.06
(+21%)
Market implied 17.7%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$12.17
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adam Lee Soroca
SELL
21529 shares
2026-02-18
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