MH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.

MISCELLANEOUS PUBLISHING
$13.30
0.44 (3.42%) β–²
5d: +1.53%
30d: +39.12%
90d: +9.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MH is 11.0% above its trading range ($11.98). Market expects 0.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.12
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.15
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $13.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.68 to $11.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: MH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+34.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $9.68 - $11.98
Company Quality Score 25/100 (STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.0% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.7% below Wall St target ($17.92)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.68 - $11.98
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.21
Resistance Level $13.67
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.55
Wall Street Target $17.92 (+34.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9860.2%
Profit Margin 4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 7.6 vs 7.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.35 (+0%)
2-Year Target $13.41 (+1%)
3-Year Target $13.46 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8β†’8) PE COMPRESSION $13.37 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -4.2%) $31.09 (+134%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: -4.2%) $11.69 (-12%)
Bear: (PE: 6.4, Growth: -4.2%) $9.94 (-25%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case $28.29 (+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case $25.72 (+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case $8.74 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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