MH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$9.43
0.26 (2.84%)
▲
5d:
-8.36%
30d:
-22.64%
90d:
-32.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.65
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $9.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.18 to $12.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.07, while resistance sits at $13.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+101.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.07, while resistance sits at $13.19.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+101.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.18 -
$12.48
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 101.7% below Wall St target ($18.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.18 -
$12.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.07
Resistance Level
$13.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.20
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+101.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.25
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.43
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→8)
$10.02
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$33.74
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$8.06
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: -4.2%)
$6.85
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 9.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.97
Bull Case
$11.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$9.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$7.02
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$13.74
(+49.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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