MH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$11.49
0.53 (4.84%)
▲
5d:
+11.45%
30d:
+9.43%
90d:
-2.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
8d
Get Alerted When MH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MH is 7.1% above its trading range ($10.73). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MH is 7.1% above its trading range ($10.73). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.12
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $11.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.47 to $10.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+63.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+63.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.47 -
$10.73
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.5% below Wall St target ($17.92)
- CAUTION: Extended 7.1% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.47 -
$10.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.97
Resistance Level
$11.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.22
Wall Street Target
$17.92
(+63.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.30
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.68
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.10
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$10.98
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -4.2%)
$32.12
(+193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$9.64
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: -4.2%)
$8.19
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 9.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.21
Bull Case
$13.87
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$11.49
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$8.79
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.21
(+20.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Education & Training Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Education & Training Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TAL
TAL Education Group |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$16 | 48 HOLD |
|
EDU
New Oriental Education &… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$73 | 47 HOLD |
|
COUR
Coursera Inc |
BUY
15 analysts |
$8 | 58 HOLD |
|
UTI
Universal Technical Inst… |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$44 | 53 HOLD |
|
LINC
Lincoln Educational Serv… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$57 | 51 HOLD |