McGraw Hill (MH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$12.32
0.21 (1.73%)
â˛
5d:
-6.88%
30d:
+6.21%
90d:
-0.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.95
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $12.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.01 to $13.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9860.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.01 -
$13.38
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.4% below Wall St target ($17.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.01 -
$13.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.00
Resistance Level
$13.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.99
Wall Street Target
$17.92
(+45.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9860.2%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.06
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$11.81
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$11.56
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
$12.23
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$31.25
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: -4.2%)
$10.83
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$9.21
(-25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$26.64
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$24.22
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$8.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.04
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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