McGraw Hill (MH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$14.61
-0.19 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
+4.51%
30d:
+6.72%
90d:
+41.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.12
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $14.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.83 to $14.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.83 -
$14.02
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($17.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.83 -
$14.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.13
Resistance Level
$14.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.40
Wall Street Target
$17.92
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9860.2%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.39
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$16.01
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$16.65
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.86
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$30.77
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -4.2%)
$13.01
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -4.2%)
$11.06
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$31.94
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.3
Base Case
$29.04
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$9.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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