MH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$10.52
0.70 (7.13%)
▲
5d:
-0.38%
30d:
-17.81%
90d:
-20.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.30
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $10.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.39 to $11.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.96, while resistance sits at $11.04. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+70.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.96, while resistance sits at $11.04. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+70.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.39 -
$11.70
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.3% below Wall St target ($17.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.39 -
$11.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.96
Resistance Level
$11.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.97
Wall Street Target
$17.92
(+70.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 7.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.71
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$8.96
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$8.27
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$10.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$33.74
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: -4.2%)
$9.25
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: -4.2%)
$7.86
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 9.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.03
Bull Case
$11.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$9.82
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$7.51
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.39
(+27.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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