McGraw Hill (MH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$12.85
-0.21 (-1.61%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.94%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
+21.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.95
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $12.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.62 to $13.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9860.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.17, while resistance sits at $14.18.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+39.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.17, while resistance sits at $14.18.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.92 (+39.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.62 -
$13.40
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.4% below Wall St target ($17.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.62 -
$13.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.17
Resistance Level
$14.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.29
Wall Street Target
$17.92
(+39.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9860.2%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.76
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.67
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$12.58
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
$12.77
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -4.2%)
$31.60
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: -4.2%)
$11.30
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$9.60
(-25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$28.73
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$26.12
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$8.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 7.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.04
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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