McGraw Hill (MH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.06
+0.11 (+0.96%)
▲
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
-16.63%
90d:
-15.61%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
65/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$11.81 – $14.31
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.2x
CHEAP
vs 7.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.33
+58.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.24 / $14.37
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: MH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.12
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $11.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.81 to $14.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.24, while resistance sits at $14.37.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+58.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.24, while resistance sits at $14.37.
Market Sentiment: MH scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+58.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.81 -
$14.31
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.81 -
$14.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$10.24
Resistance Level
$14.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.3% below Wall St target ($17.33)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.21
Wall Street Target
$17.33
(+58.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.30
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.70
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.12
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$11.01
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$30.77
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$9.63
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: -4.2%)
$8.18
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$23.67
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$21.52
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$7.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.21
(+20.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MH)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
McGraw Hill integrates trusted medical content into UCSF's AI platform for precision learning experiences.
Key Retail Themes:
Collaboration between McGraw Hill and UCSF School of Medicine
Integration of McGraw Hill content into UCSF's generative AI platform
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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