MLCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLCO - Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited American Depositary Shares
$5.30
-0.23 (-4.16%)
▼
5d:
-3.64%
30d:
-1.85%
90d:
-2.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MLCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MLCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.60
30.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLCO is currently trading at $5.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.40 to $5.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 150.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MLCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.99 (+50.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MLCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.99 (+50.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.40 -
$5.72
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.8% below Wall St target ($7.99)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.40 -
$5.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.47
Resistance Level
$6.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.32
Wall Street Target
$7.99
(+50.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
150.0%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.01
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.73
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$4.47
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$5.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 41.0%)
$51.19
(+866%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 41.0%)
$14.86
(+180%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 41.0%)
$12.63
(+138%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$8.43
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.5%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$7.67
(+45%)
Market implied 44.5%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$3.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.29
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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