MLCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLCO - Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited American Depositary Shares
$5.05
0.04 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
-2.51%
30d:
-8.51%
90d:
-9.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.34
20.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLCO is currently trading at $5.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.17 to $5.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLCO scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.13 (+41.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLCO scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.13 (+41.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.17 -
$5.56
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.2% below Wall St target ($7.13)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.17 -
$5.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.94
Resistance Level
$5.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.03
Wall Street Target
$7.13
(+41.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.7%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.92
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$4.86
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$5.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 67.1%)
$48.90
(+868%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 67.1%)
$17.04
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 67.1%)
$14.49
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$6.71
(+33%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$6.10
(+21%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$3.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$5.24
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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