MLCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLCO - Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited American Depositary Shares
$5.49
0.14 (2.62%)
▲
5d:
-1.96%
30d:
-1.44%
90d:
+1.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MLCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MLCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.34
13.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLCO is currently trading at $5.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.39 to $5.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.08, while resistance sits at $5.66.
Market Sentiment: MLCO scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.35 (+33.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.08, while resistance sits at $5.66.
Market Sentiment: MLCO scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.35 (+33.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.63
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($7.35)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.39 -
$5.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.08
Resistance Level
$5.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.64
Wall Street Target
$7.35
(+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.7%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.57
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$5.66
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$5.74
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 67.1%)
$48.66
(+786%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 67.1%)
$18.53
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 67.1%)
$15.75
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$7.17
(+31%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$6.51
(+19%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$3.64
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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