MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited American Depositary Shares
Hotels & Motels
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MLCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.44
-0.08 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
-5.84%
30d:
+4.6%
90d:
-19.36%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$3.92 – $4.42
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.1x
FAIR
vs 7.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.89
+30.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.67 / $4.82
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.50
19.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLCO is currently trading at $4.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.92 to $4.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.67, while resistance sits at $4.82.
Market Sentiment: MLCO scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.89 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.67, while resistance sits at $4.82.
Market Sentiment: MLCO scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.89 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.92 -
$4.42
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.92 -
$4.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$3.67
Resistance Level
$4.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($5.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.05
Wall Street Target
$5.89
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-100.0%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.50
(0%)
2-Year Target
$4.49
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$4.47
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$4.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 76.3%)
$42.92
(+851%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 76.3%)
$15.24
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 76.3%)
$12.95
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case
$7.68
(+70%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$6.98
(+55%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$3.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$4.55
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MLCO)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Jun 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on MLCO are bullish (sentiment score +0.07) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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