MMSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMSI - Merit Medical Systems Inc
$67.22
1.98 (3.03%)
▲
5d:
+0.49%
30d:
+5.41%
90d:
-1.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MMSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MMSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.13
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMSI is currently trading at $67.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.85 to $66.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMSI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MMSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.55 (+33.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMSI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MMSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.55 (+33.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.85 -
$66.27
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($89.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.85 -
$66.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.17
Resistance Level
$69.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$89.55
(+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.8%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$60.92
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$58.00
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$67.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$120.77
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$84.75
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$72.04
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case
$136.05
(+102%)
Analyst growth 89.6%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$123.68
(+84%)
Market implied 89.6%, PE stable at 28.1
Bear Case
$44.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$77.85
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 19, 2026 9:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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