ALGN
Align Technology Inc
ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES
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Align Technology (ALGN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$174.26
+0.00 (+0.00%)
▲
5d:
+14.96%
30d:
+24.1%
90d:
+0.14%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect ALGN Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (20%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$142.22 – $160.73
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.2x
FAIR
vs 13.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$185.79
+6.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$147.52 / $177.04
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALGN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.19
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALGN is currently trading at $174.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.22 to $160.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALGN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALGN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALGN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$142.22 -
$160.73
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$142.22 -
$160.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$147.52
Resistance Level
$177.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
ALGN is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($185.79)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.17
Wall Street Target
$185.79
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
143.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.65
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$177.06
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$178.48
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$173.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.8%)
$331.93
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 10.8%)
$236.84
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 10.8%)
$201.32
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.86
Bull Case
$343.61
(+97%)
Analyst growth 79.3%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$312.38
(+79%)
Market implied 79.3%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$118.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ALGN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment as traders notice a potential breakout for $ALGN from a bottom.
Key Retail Themes:
potential breakout
bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALGN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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