Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMSI - Merit Medical Systems Inc
$91.40
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
+4.97%
90d:
+22.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMSI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMSI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.37
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMSI is currently trading at $91.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.51 to $89.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MMSI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.64 (+11.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MMSI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.64 (+11.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$85.51 -
$89.31
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.64)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.51 -
$89.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.94
Resistance Level
$92.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.82
Wall Street Target
$101.64
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.51
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$97.72
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$101.04
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$112.79
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$112.56
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$95.68
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$190.34
(+108%)
Analyst growth 89.8%, PE expands to 41.3
Base Case
$173.04
(+89%)
Market implied 89.8%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$62.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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