MMSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMSI - Merit Medical Systems Inc
$90.78
0.51 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
+0.02%
30d:
+24.17%
90d:
+42.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When MMSI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMSI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MMSI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.55
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMSI is currently trading at $90.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.70 to $90.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MMSI scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.27 (+10.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MMSI scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.27 (+10.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.70 -
$90.30
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($100.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.70 -
$90.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.99
Resistance Level
$92.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.69
Wall Street Target
$100.27
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.23
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$97.81
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$101.53
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$113.98
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$111.80
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$95.03
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.38
Bull Case
$192.40
(+112%)
Analyst growth 93.8%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$174.91
(+93%)
Market implied 93.8%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$61.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MMSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Medical Instruments & Supplies Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Instruments & Supplies by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ISRG
Intuitive Surgical Inc |
BUY
33 analysts |
$478 | 46 HOLD |
|
ALC
Alcon AG |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$86 | 37 SELL |
|
WST
West Pharmaceutical Serv… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$405 | 66 BUY |
|
RGEN
Repligen Corporation |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$186 | 45 HOLD |
|
RMD
ResMed Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$247 | 41 HOLD |