MMSI Merit Medical Systems Inc SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS Best Medical Devices Stocks 2026 →

Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$87.73
-0.08 (-0.09%) ▼
5d: -3.2% 30d: -0.47% 90d: -3.06%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$86.03 – $92.02
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.8x FAIR
vs 18.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$107.00
+21.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$83.56 / $93.78
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MMSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.56
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.65
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MMSI is currently trading at $87.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.03 to $92.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MMSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.56, while resistance sits at $93.78.

Market Sentiment: MMSI scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.00 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $86.03 - $92.02
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $86.03 - $92.02
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $83.56
Resistance Level $93.78
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($107.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.81
Wall Street Target $107.00 (+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 52.2%
Profit Margin 9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 18.8 vs 18.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $89.13 (+2%)
2-Year Target $90.46 (+3%)
3-Year Target $91.82 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $87.86 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.3%) $114.49 (+30%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 7.3%) $108.44 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 16.0, Growth: 7.3%) $92.18 (+5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case $170.04 (+94%)
Analyst growth 74.8%, PE expands to 36.4
Base Case $154.58 (+76%)
Market implied 74.8%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case $60.13 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MMSI)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: GE Healthcare (GEHC) announced five new global clinical collaborations to evaluate its StarGuide GX digital SPECT/CT system, aiming to advance quantitative imaging and theranostics applications. StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment.
Key Retail Themes: GEHC's expansion in theranostics imaging Global clinical collaborations to evaluate StarGuide GX
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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