MSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSA - Mine Safety Incorporated
$162.66
-1.29 (-0.79%)
▼
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
-3.49%
90d:
-6.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.8% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.8% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$251.44
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSA is currently trading at $162.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $160.16 to $169.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $158.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $205.71 (+26.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $158.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $205.71 (+26.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$160.16 -
$169.12
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($205.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$160.16 -
$169.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$158.32
Resistance Level
$174.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.77
Wall Street Target
$205.71
(+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$156.48
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$150.53
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$144.81
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$162.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$275.69
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$212.24
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.3%)
$180.41
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.41
Bull Case
$236.73
(+44%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$215.21
(+31%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$111.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$182.38
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan D Buck
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-17
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