ALLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALLE - Allegion Public Limited Company
$157.40
0.34 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
+2.63%
30d:
+12.48%
90d:
+14.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Get Alerted When ALLE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALLE is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ALLE is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.88
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALLE is currently trading at $157.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $132.49 to $147.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $134.63, while resistance sits at $164.25.
Market Sentiment: ALLE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $134.63, while resistance sits at $164.25.
Market Sentiment: ALLE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$132.49 -
$147.92
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALLE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($173.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$132.49 -
$147.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$134.63
Resistance Level
$164.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.20
Wall Street Target
$173.00
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$158.03
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$158.66
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$159.30
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$157.33
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.6%)
$257.63
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 8.6%)
$201.33
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 8.6%)
$171.13
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.55
Bull Case
$222.33
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$202.12
(+28%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$106.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sue Main
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-11
Steven Mizell
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-19
Steven Mizell
SELL
400 shares
2026-02-18
Top Rated Security & Protection Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Security & Protection Services by analyst ratings.
Advanced ALLE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALLE price and gamma walls.
