14 days of Premium, free.
Every scanner with live hit rates + the Market Pulse risk flag that tells you when to get defensive. No card required.
Start trial →
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$216.72
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: ALLE is currently trading at $154.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $152.22 to $157.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $151.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.09 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$152.22 -
$157.89
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALLE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
Allegion is a global security products company with a portfolio of leading brands such as Schlage, Von Duprin, and LCN. The Ireland-domiciled company was created via a spinoff transaction from Ingersoll-Rand in December 2013. In fiscal 2024, Allegion generated over 75% of sales in the United States. The company primarily competes with Sweden-based Assa Abloy, Switzerland-based Dormakaba, and US-based Fortune Brands Innovations.
