Allegion Public (ALLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALLE - Allegion Public Limited Company
$159.00
1.97 (1.25%)
▲
5d:
+4.26%
30d:
+3.28%
90d:
+2.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$215.40
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALLE is currently trading at $159.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.28 to $155.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $159.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALLE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.00 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $159.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALLE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.00 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$151.28 -
$155.33
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALLE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($178.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$151.28 -
$155.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.52
Resistance Level
$159.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.25
Wall Street Target
$178.00
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.79
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$160.59
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$161.40
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$158.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$252.85
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 9.2%)
$206.83
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$175.81
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.63
Bull Case
$221.57
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.3%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$201.43
(+27%)
Market implied 28.3%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$106.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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