ALLE
Allegion Public Limited Company
SERVICES-DETECTIVE, GUARD & ARMORED CAR SERVICES
Allegion Public (ALLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$189.49
-1.03 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.07%
30d:
+26.29%
90d:
+14.08%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Protect ALLE Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$153.61 – $186.50
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.7x
STRETCHED
vs 16.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$193.64
+2.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$179.62 / $195.42
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$237.81
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALLE is currently trading at $189.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.61 to $186.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $179.62, while resistance sits at $195.42.
Market Sentiment: ALLE scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALLE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $179.62, while resistance sits at $195.42.
Market Sentiment: ALLE scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$153.61 -
$186.50
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
37.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$153.61 -
$186.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.30
(3.9%)
Support Level
$179.62
Resistance Level
$195.42
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALLE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($193.64)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.68
Wall Street Target
$193.64
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 16.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.96
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$208.91
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$219.36
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$190.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$278.65
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$262.06
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$222.75
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.04
Bull Case
$264.46
(+40%)
Analyst growth 26.2%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$240.42
(+27%)
Market implied 26.2%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$129.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ALLE)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Allegion (ALLE) reported stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings and raised its full-year outlook, driving bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings beat
Strong growth in Americas segment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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