MSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSA - Mine Safety Incorporated
$163.95
-0.44 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
+2.54%
30d:
-2.97%
90d:
-3.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.5% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.5% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$251.44
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSA is currently trading at $163.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $160.17 to $169.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $158.32, while resistance sits at $174.71.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $205.71 (+25.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $158.32, while resistance sits at $174.71.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $205.71 (+25.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$160.17 -
$169.27
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($205.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$160.17 -
$169.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$158.32
Resistance Level
$174.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.90
Wall Street Target
$205.71
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$158.21
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$152.67
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$147.33
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$163.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$275.69
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.3%)
$213.93
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 9.3%)
$181.84
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.41
Bull Case
$236.73
(+44%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$215.21
(+31%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$111.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$182.38
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan D Buck
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-17
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