MSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSA - Mine Safety Incorporated
$190.27
15.92 (9.13%)
▲
5d:
+8.95%
30d:
+11.74%
90d:
+14.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MSA is 7.6% above its trading range ($176.85). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MSA is 7.6% above its trading range ($176.85). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.72
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSA is currently trading at $190.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.40 to $176.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $168.62, while resistance sits at $196.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $168.62, while resistance sits at $196.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$167.40 -
$176.85
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($205.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$167.40 -
$176.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$168.62
Resistance Level
$196.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.61
Wall Street Target
$205.71
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$193.50
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$196.79
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$200.14
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$189.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$261.60
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$247.40
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$210.29
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.34
Bull Case
$253.58
(+33%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$230.53
(+21%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$118.56
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan D Buck
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-17
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