MSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSA - Mine Safety Incorporated
$189.43
0.99 (0.53%)
â˛
5d:
+0.16%
30d:
+8.83%
90d:
+12.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MSA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MSA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.97
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSA is currently trading at $189.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $173.60 to $192.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $186.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSA scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.14 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $186.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSA scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.14 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$173.60 -
$192.48
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($209.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$173.60 -
$192.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.51
Resistance Level
$196.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.92
Wall Street Target
$209.14
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.3%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$190.19
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$190.95
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$191.71
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â19)
PE COMPRESSION
$189.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$260.65
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$245.69
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$208.83
(+10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.99
Bull Case
$259.77
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.3%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$236.16
(+25%)
Market implied 25.3%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$128.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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