MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$14.31
0.46 (3.32%)
▲
5d:
-1.72%
30d:
+14.3%
90d:
+5.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.12
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $14.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.67 to $14.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.86, while resistance sits at $14.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.86, while resistance sits at $14.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.67 -
$14.13
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 26.6% above Wall St target ($10.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 5.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.67 -
$14.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.86
Resistance Level
$14.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.78
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.67
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.03
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$15.41
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.36
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 89.7%)
$63.46
(+343%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 89.7%)
$48.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 89.7%)
$41.05
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.55
Bull Case
$17.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$14.31
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$10.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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