MTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$76.24
3.73 (5.14%)
▲
5d:
+2.2%
30d:
+3.33%
90d:
+5.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.06
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $76.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.36 to $76.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.55, while resistance sits at $80.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.55, while resistance sits at $80.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$72.36 -
$76.24
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($94.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 11.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.36 -
$76.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.55
Resistance Level
$80.60
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.68
Wall Street Target
$94.25
(+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$77.93
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$78.78
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$217.48
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$112.06
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 13.7%)
$95.25
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.00
Bull Case
$113.86
(+49%)
Analyst growth 42.8%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$103.51
(+36%)
Market implied 42.8%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$49.31
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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