MTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$76.48
-0.68 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
-2.49%
30d:
+1.43%
90d:
+15.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.81
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $76.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.74 to $77.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$75.74 -
$77.89
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($94.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 11.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.74 -
$77.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.81
Resistance Level
$79.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.72
Wall Street Target
$94.25
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.47
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$78.48
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$79.50
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.8%)
$234.85
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 14.8%)
$115.58
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 14.8%)
$98.24
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.09
Bull Case
$118.98
(+56%)
Analyst growth 40.2%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$108.16
(+41%)
Market implied 40.2%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$52.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-05
Dj Monagle III
SELL
23093 shares
2025-12-29
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