MTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$71.11
0.65 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
-2.56%
30d:
-2.87%
90d:
-5.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.24
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.18
1.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $71.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.23 to $75.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.23 -
$75.38
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($93.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.23 -
$75.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.02
Resistance Level
$75.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.15
Wall Street Target
$93.00
(+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.68
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$70.26
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$69.84
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$70.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.2%)
$220.46
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 16.2%)
$111.55
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 16.2%)
$94.81
(+33%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$72.13
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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