MTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc

INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
$71.11
0.65 (0.92%) ▲
5d: -2.56%
30d: -2.87%
90d: -5.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.24
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.18
1.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $71.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.23 to $75.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $72.23 - $75.38
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($93.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $72.23 - $75.38
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $70.02
Resistance Level $75.84
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.15
Wall Street Target $93.00 (+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -28.8%
Profit Margin -3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.2 vs 10.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $70.68 (-1%)
2-Year Target $70.26 (-1%)
3-Year Target $69.84 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) $70.84 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.2%) $220.46 (+210%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 16.2%) $111.55 (+57%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 16.2%) $94.81 (+33%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 10.3
Stabilization Target: $72.13 (+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.4%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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