Minerals Technologies (MTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$66.42
1.24 (1.90%)
▲
5d:
-0.84%
30d:
-6.41%
90d:
-10.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.57
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.62
9.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $66.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.63 to $71.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTX scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.50 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTX scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.50 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.63 -
$71.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($92.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.63 -
$71.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.76
Resistance Level
$68.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.31
Wall Street Target
$92.50
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.09
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$61.08
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$59.12
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$65.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 17.1%)
$229.37
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 17.1%)
$104.66
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 17.1%)
$88.96
(+37%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$72.13
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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