Minerals Technologies (MTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$68.81
-0.61 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
-4.87%
90d:
-10.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.24
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.18
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $68.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.21 to $74.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+35.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.00 (+35.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.21 -
$74.06
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($93.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.21 -
$74.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.25
Resistance Level
$72.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.83
Wall Street Target
$93.00
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.71
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$66.63
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$65.56
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$68.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.2%)
$221.55
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$107.94
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 16.2%)
$91.75
(+33%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$72.13
(+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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