MTX Minerals Technologies Inc INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS

Minerals Technologies (MTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$62.12
+0.25 (+0.40%) ▲
5d: -5.64% 30d: -2.68% 90d: -14.62%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$62.06 – $64.62
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x FAIR
vs 10.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$90.50
+46.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$61.00 / $66.62
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.70
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.01
4.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $62.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.06 to $64.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.50 (+46.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $62.06 - $64.62
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $62.06 - $64.62
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $61.00
Resistance Level $66.62
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 46.3% below Wall St target ($90.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.42
Wall Street Target $90.50 (+46.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Profit Margin -3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.4 vs 10.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.32 (-3%)
2-Year Target $58.82 (-5%)
3-Year Target $57.34 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $62.11 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.8%) $197.20 (+219%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 14.8%) $93.51 (+51%)
Bear: (PE: 8.0, Growth: 14.8%) $79.48 (+29%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.2
Stabilization Target: $67.01 (+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MTX)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish sentiment was observed on StockTwits regarding $MTX with no recent news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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