MTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$72.18
-0.28 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
-4.96%
90d:
-1.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Get Alerted When MTX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.27
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $72.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.57 to $78.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.25 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.57 -
$78.28
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($94.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.57 -
$78.28
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.81
Resistance Level
$79.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.12
Wall Street Target
$94.25
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$71.17
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$70.67
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$71.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$228.72
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$106.24
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 13.8%)
$90.30
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.09
Bull Case
$111.73
(+55%)
Analyst growth 40.2%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$101.57
(+41%)
Market implied 40.2%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$49.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$73.49
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$547 | 62 BUY |
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$319 | 58 HOLD |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$379 | 57 HOLD |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$331 | 62 BUY |
|
IFF
International Flavors & … |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$91 | 57 HOLD |
