Minerals Technologies (MTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTX - Minerals Technologies Inc
$63.82
0.59 (0.93%)
â˛
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
-4.58%
90d:
-14.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.06
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.69
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTX is currently trading at $63.82, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.58 to $67.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTX scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.25 (+44.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTX scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.25 (+44.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$63.58 -
$67.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($91.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.58 -
$67.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.77
Resistance Level
$65.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.20
Wall Street Target
$91.25
(+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.08
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$59.00
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$57.00
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$63.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.8%)
$223.04
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 17.8%)
$103.29
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$87.80
(+39%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$70.12
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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