MUX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MUX - McEwen Inc.
$20.78
0.51 (2.52%)
▲
5d:
+10.53%
30d:
+18.14%
90d:
-2.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MUX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MUX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.45
39.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MUX is currently trading at $20.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.07 to $19.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.1) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 156.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MUX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+49.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MUX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+49.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.07 -
$19.34
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.2% below Wall St target ($31.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.07 -
$19.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.28
Resistance Level
$21.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.11
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+49.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
156.0%
Profit Margin
32.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.1 vs 7.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.74
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.25
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$20.91
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 166.0%)
$275.69
(+1227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.1, Growth: 166.0%)
$70.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 166.0%)
$59.61
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case
$44.59
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$40.54
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$13.78
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$28.49
(+37.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MUX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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