NBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NBR - Nabors Industries Ltd.

DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
$88.70
-3.71 (-4.01%) â–ŧ
5d: -8.28%
30d: +6.39%
90d: -15.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: NBR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -27.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.52
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NBR is currently trading at $88.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.73 to $91.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.6) compared to its historical average (68.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 27.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NBR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.84, while resistance sits at $98.01. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: NBR scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.62 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $80.73 - $91.24
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 35.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($106.62)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $80.73 - $91.24
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.84
Resistance Level $98.01
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.60
Wall Street Target $106.63 (+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.2%
Profit Margin 7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -27.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.6 vs 68.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -27.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $83.17 (-10%)
2-Year Target $74.85 (-19%)
3-Year Target $67.37 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→68) $179.48 (+94%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.83
Bull Case $50.50 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.8
Base Case $45.91 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.2
Bear Case $62.44 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.6 to 68.2
Stabilization Target: $246.20 (+166.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +166.4%
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 PM
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