NCSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCSM - NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
$47.13
0.13 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
+2.46%
30d:
+5.7%
90d:
-4.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NCSM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NCSM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.36
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCSM is currently trading at $47.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.59 to $46.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.03, while resistance sits at $49.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.03, while resistance sits at $49.18.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+19.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.59 -
$46.09
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.59 -
$46.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.03
Resistance Level
$49.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.96
Wall Street Target
$56.08
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.21
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$49.32
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$50.46
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 55.7%)
$275.66
(+485%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 55.7%)
$159.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 55.7%)
$135.20
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$41.23
(-13%)
Analyst growth -20.2%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$37.49
(-21%)
Market implied -20.2%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$31.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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