NCSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCSM - NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
$48.58
-1.25 (-2.51%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.01%
30d:
+2.86%
90d:
+9.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NCSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NCSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.83
9.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCSM is currently trading at $48.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.81 to $50.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NCSM scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NCSM scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.81 -
$50.41
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.81 -
$50.41
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.16
Resistance Level
$51.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.33
Wall Street Target
$56.08
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.04
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$51.54
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$53.08
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.65
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 55.7%)
$266.61
(+449%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 55.7%)
$163.96
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 55.7%)
$139.36
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.96
Bull Case
$44.21
(-11%)
Analyst growth -20.6%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$40.19
(-19%)
Market implied -20.6%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$34.41
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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