NCS Multistage (NCSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCSM - NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
$53.35
1.71 (3.31%)
▲
5d:
+9.82%
30d:
+13.51%
90d:
+14.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NCSM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NCSM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.83
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCSM is currently trading at $53.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.63 to $51.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.63 -
$51.66
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.08)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.2% growth expectation is conservative given 302% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.63 -
$51.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.01
Resistance Level
$54.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.54
Wall Street Target
$56.08
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 11.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.66
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$60.17
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$63.90
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.33
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 55.7%)
$267.28
(+401%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 55.7%)
$180.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 55.7%)
$150.26
(+182%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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