NCSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCSM - NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
$45.54
-2.68 (-5.56%)
▼
5d:
-13.67%
30d:
+2.96%
90d:
-37.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NCSM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NCSM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.88
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCSM is currently trading at $45.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.34 to $53.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.22, while resistance sits at $57.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCSM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.22, while resistance sits at $57.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NCSM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.34 -
$53.99
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-13.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.34 -
$53.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.22
Resistance Level
$57.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.24
Wall Street Target
$56.08
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.9%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.76
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$51.36
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$53.00
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 55.7%)
$289.62
(+501%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 55.7%)
$162.74
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 55.7%)
$138.33
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.00
Bull Case
$30.20
(-37%)
Analyst growth -43.7%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case
$27.45
(-43%)
Market implied -43.7%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case
$33.16
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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