NE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NE - Noble Corporation plc
$40.37
-2.03 (-4.79%)
▼
5d:
-6.36%
30d:
+6.26%
90d:
-20.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.72
36.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $40.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.39 to $42.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.02, while resistance sits at $44.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.73 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.02, while resistance sits at $44.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.73 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.39 -
$42.27
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($48.73)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.39 -
$42.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.02
Resistance Level
$44.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$48.73
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.52
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$32.18
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$29.15
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→22)
$39.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 166.0%)
$168.24
(+329%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 166.0%)
$132.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 166.0%)
$112.45
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$79.44
(+87%)
Analyst growth 67.5%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$72.21
(+70%)
Market implied 67.5%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$29.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$52.70
(+34.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard B Barker
SELL
150000 shares
2026-03-18
Robert W Eifler
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-18
Charles M Sledge
SELL
2083 shares
2026-02-19
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