NEOG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEOG - Neogen Corp

IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES
$12.04
0.51 (4.42%) β–²
5d: +28.09%
30d: +29.32%
90d: +28.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: NEOG is 16.3% above its trading range ($10.35). Market expects 11.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.26
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.75
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEOG is currently trading at $12.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.99 to $10.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.1) compared to its historical average (28.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEOG is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $12.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: NEOG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $8.99 - $10.35
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

Protect Your Profits

NEOG is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.3% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.5% growth with -4.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.3% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.99 - $10.35
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.05
Resistance Level $12.15
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 40.13
Wall Street Target $12.00 (-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.6%
Profit Margin -69.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.5% premium
PE vs Historical 40.1 vs 28.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.42 (+12%)
2-Year Target $14.97 (+24%)
3-Year Target $16.69 (+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 40β†’29) PE COMPRESSION $12.02 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 40.1, Growth: 4.6%) $13.79 (+15%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 4.6%) $7.13 (-41%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 4.6%) $6.06 (-50%)
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Mikheal Nassif BUY 23 shares 2026-02-17

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Advanced NEOG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEOG price and gamma walls.

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