NEOG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEOG - Neogen Corp

IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES
$8.92
-0.39 (-4.19%) ▼
5d: -1.98%
30d: +1.02%
90d: +6.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEOG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.00
Based on -7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEOG is currently trading at $8.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.62 to $9.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.7) is in line with its historical norms (28.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEOG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+34.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $8.62 - $9.23
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($12.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with -4.4% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.62 - $9.23
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.85
Resistance Level $9.51
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.73
Wall Street Target $12.00 (+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.6%
Profit Margin -69.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 29.7 vs 28.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.05 (+2%)
2-Year Target $9.19 (+3%)
3-Year Target $9.33 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→29) PE COMPRESSION $8.94 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.7, Growth: -18.9%) $6.50 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -18.9%) $4.76 (-47%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -18.9%) $4.05 (-55%)
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Mikheal Nassif BUY 23 shares 2026-02-17
Mikheal Nassif BUY 24 shares 2026-02-02
Mikheal Nassif BUY 25 shares 2026-01-26

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Advanced NEOG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEOG price and gamma walls.

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