NEOG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEOG - Neogen Corp

IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES
$11.95
0.12 (1.01%) ▲
5d: +2.58%
30d: +24.35%
90d: +34.88%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 08, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEOG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.26
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.75
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEOG is currently trading at $11.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.83 to $11.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 39.8) compared to its historical average (29.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEOG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NEOG scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $9.83 - $11.85
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.3% growth with -0.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.83 - $11.85
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.21
Resistance Level $12.26
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 39.83
Wall Street Target $13.00 (+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.6%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.3% premium
PE vs Historical 39.8 vs 29.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.18 (+10%)
2-Year Target $14.54 (+22%)
3-Year Target $16.04 (+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 40→30) PE COMPRESSION $11.96 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 39.8, Growth: 4.6%) $13.69 (+15%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.6%) $6.90 (-42%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 4.6%) $5.86 (-51%)
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NEOG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEOG price and gamma walls.

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