NGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$16.46
0.09 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
+2.88%
30d:
-6.58%
90d:
+31.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $16.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.75 to $17.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.12, while resistance sits at $17.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.12, while resistance sits at $17.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.75 -
$17.29
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 69.6% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.0% growth with -13.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.75 -
$17.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.12
Resistance Level
$17.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.07
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-69.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.1%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 15.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.78
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$19.20
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$20.73
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 141.2%)
$60.28
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 141.2%)
$55.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 141.2%)
$44.00
(+167%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 9:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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