NGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGS - Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
$40.57
0.04 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
+8.22%
30d:
-2.34%
90d:
+5.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.68
24.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGS is currently trading at $40.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.90 to $43.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.64, while resistance sits at $42.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.67 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.64, while resistance sits at $42.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.67 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$39.90 -
$43.05
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($55.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.90 -
$43.05
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.61
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.64
Resistance Level
$42.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$55.67
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.39
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$38.25
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$37.14
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$40.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.8%)
$115.50
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 28.8%)
$86.75
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 28.8%)
$73.74
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$64.28
(+58%)
Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$58.44
(+44%)
Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$27.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$44.39
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
30000 shares
2026-03-06
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
70000 shares
2026-03-05
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