NGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGS - Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
$34.69
-0.71 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
-2.25%
30d:
-3.34%
90d:
-11.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.91
36.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGS is currently trading at $34.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.20 to $37.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+61.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+61.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.20 -
$37.87
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NGS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.4% below Wall St target ($56.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.20 -
$37.87
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.32
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.05
Resistance Level
$38.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.29
Wall Street Target
$56.00
(+61.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.67
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$28.92
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$26.40
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$34.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 38.8%)
$140.16
(+304%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 38.8%)
$92.82
(+168%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 38.8%)
$78.90
(+127%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$63.52
(+83%)
Analyst growth 63.1%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$57.75
(+67%)
Market implied 63.1%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$24.07
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$45.41
(+30.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 29, 2026 11:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
30000 shares
2026-03-06
Stephen Charles Taylor
SELL
70000 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced NGS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NGS price and gamma walls.
