NVGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$21.54
-0.84 (-3.75%)
▼
5d:
-4.01%
30d:
-6.87%
90d:
+10.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.45
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $21.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.74 to $23.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.74 -
$23.24
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.74 -
$23.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.44
Resistance Level
$23.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.38
Wall Street Target
$25.25
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.04
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$22.54
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$23.06
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -9.5%)
$28.11
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: -9.5%)
$15.98
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: -9.5%)
$13.58
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$26.45
(+23%)
Analyst growth 7.4%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$24.04
(+12%)
Market implied 7.4%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$15.22
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 7:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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