NVGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$21.87
-0.35 (-1.58%)
▼
5d:
-2.71%
30d:
-0.41%
90d:
+3.4%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.15
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $21.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.81 to $23.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.81 -
$23.55
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.81 -
$23.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.44
Resistance Level
$24.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.57
Wall Street Target
$25.25
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.59
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$23.34
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$24.11
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -9.5%)
$28.28
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: -9.5%)
$16.22
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: -9.5%)
$13.79
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$25.98
(+19%)
Analyst growth 5.0%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$23.61
(+8%)
Market implied 5.0%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$15.29
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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