OEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OEC - Orion S.A.
$6.12
0.03 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
-4.97%
30d:
-10.79%
90d:
-9.47%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OEC trades at premium valuation expecting 9.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: OEC trades at premium valuation expecting 9.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $6.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.31 to $7.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.92, while resistance sits at $7.26.
Market Sentiment: OEC scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.92, while resistance sits at $7.26.
Market Sentiment: OEC scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.31 -
$7.14
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.2% growth with 7.4% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.31 -
$7.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.92
Resistance Level
$7.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.05
Wall Street Target
$6.69
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.3%
Profit Margin
-5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 13.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.68
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$7.30
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$7.97
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 105.1%)
$22.96
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 105.1%)
$20.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 105.1%)
$15.90
(+160%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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