OEC Orion S.A. MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS

Orion (OEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$3.99
-0.19 (-4.55%) β–Ό
5d: -32.03% 30d: -30.73% 90d: -37.36%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$4.70 – $5.90
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.2x CHEAP
vs 14.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$6.31
+58.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.91 / $5.93
Trend: Downtrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OEC is down 32.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.32
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.54
12.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $3.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.70 to $5.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.31 (+58.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $4.70 - $5.90
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $4.70 - $5.90
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $3.91
Resistance Level $5.93
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 58.2% below Wall St target ($6.31)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.16
Wall Street Target $6.31 (+58.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.3%
Profit Margin -1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.2 vs 14.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.65 (-9%)
2-Year Target $3.33 (-17%)
3-Year Target $3.05 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’15) $3.99 (0%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 14.6
Stabilization Target: $5.22 (+30.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OEC)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Investor bullish on $OEC due to dividend, breaking key moving averages, and high demand for rare earth materials with shares under $10.
Key Retail Themes: Dividend Technical Analysis Rare Earth Materials
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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OEC Technical Chart OEC Price Prediction OEC Intrinsic Value DCF OEC Earnings Date Why is OEC Moving Today? OEC Investment Advisor OEC Fair Price Analyzer OEC Competitors
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