Orion (OEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OEC - Orion S.A.

MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
$5.79
0.15 (2.66%) ▲
5d: -1.7%
30d: -6.16%
90d: +5.85%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OEC trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.90
1.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $5.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.75 to $6.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.36, while resistance sits at $6.24.

Market Sentiment: OEC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.69 (+15.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $5.75 - $6.12
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.69)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 7.4% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.75 - $6.12
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.36
Resistance Level $6.24
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.08
Wall Street Target $6.69 (+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.3%
Profit Margin -5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.8% premium
PE vs Historical 17.1 vs 14.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.13 (+6%)
2-Year Target $6.48 (+12%)
3-Year Target $6.86 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→14) PE COMPRESSION $5.78 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 105.1%) $23.34 (+303%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 105.1%) $19.54 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 14.4, Growth: 105.1%) $16.48 (+185%)
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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