Orion (OEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OEC - Orion S.A.
$5.79
0.15 (2.66%)
▲
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
-6.16%
90d:
+5.85%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OEC trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: OEC trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.90
1.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $5.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.75 to $6.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.36, while resistance sits at $6.24.
Market Sentiment: OEC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.69 (+15.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.36, while resistance sits at $6.24.
Market Sentiment: OEC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.69 (+15.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.75 -
$6.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 7.4% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.75 -
$6.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.36
Resistance Level
$6.24
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.08
Wall Street Target
$6.69
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.3%
Profit Margin
-5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 14.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.13
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$6.48
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$6.86
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 105.1%)
$23.34
(+303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 105.1%)
$19.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 105.1%)
$16.48
(+185%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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