OEC
Orion S.A.
MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
Orion (OEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.99
-0.19 (-4.55%)
βΌ
5d:
-32.03%
30d:
-30.73%
90d:
-37.36%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$4.70 β $5.90
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.2x
CHEAP
vs 14.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$6.31
+58.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.91 / $5.93
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OEC is down 32.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.32
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.54
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OEC is currently trading at $3.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.70 to $5.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.31 (+58.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OEC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.31 (+58.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.70 -
$5.90
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.70 -
$5.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$3.91
Resistance Level
$5.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.2% below Wall St target ($6.31)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.16
Wall Street Target
$6.31
(+58.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.3%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.65
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$3.33
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$3.05
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11β15)
$3.99
(0%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$5.22
(+30.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OEC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor bullish on $OEC due to dividend, breaking key moving averages, and high demand for rare earth materials with shares under $10.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend
Technical Analysis
Rare Earth Materials
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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