OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$107.66
-2.01 (-1.83%)
▼
5d:
-1.23%
30d:
+2.88%
90d:
-1.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OMAB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OMAB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.07
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.12
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $107.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.41 to $108.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.03 (+15.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.03 (+15.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$98.41 -
$108.17
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($124.03)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.41 -
$108.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.69
Resistance Level
$104.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.17
Wall Street Target
$124.03
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.05
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$104.45
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$102.89
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$107.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.6%)
$329.30
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 19.6%)
$183.98
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 19.6%)
$156.38
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.32
Bull Case
$168.88
(+57%)
Analyst growth 40.0%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$153.53
(+43%)
Market implied 40.0%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$74.58
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$112.36
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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