OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$106.90
-1.19 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
-4.72%
90d:
+0.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When OMAB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OMAB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OMAB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.84
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $106.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.99 to $110.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $109.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.03 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $109.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OMAB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.03 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$104.99 -
$110.98
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($124.03)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.99 -
$110.98
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.30
Resistance Level
$109.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.39
Wall Street Target
$124.03
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.15
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$105.41
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$104.67
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$106.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.1%)
$251.69
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$150.41
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 12.1%)
$127.85
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.52
Bull Case
$157.35
(+47%)
Analyst growth 32.3%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$143.05
(+34%)
Market implied 32.3%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$73.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$108.72
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Airports & Air Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airports & Air Services by analyst ratings.
