OMAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMAB - Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V
$102.87
0.91 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-0.5%
30d:
-1.22%
90d:
-1.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OMAB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.30
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.05
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMAB is currently trading at $102.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.38 to $109.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $99.67, while resistance sits at $110.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.90 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMAB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $99.67, while resistance sits at $110.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.90 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$103.38 -
$109.05
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($123.90)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.38 -
$109.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$99.67
Resistance Level
$110.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.17
Wall Street Target
$123.90
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.53
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$100.21
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$98.91
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$102.40
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 19.7%)
$291.21
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$176.58
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 19.7%)
$150.10
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.59
Bull Case
$143.86
(+40%)
Analyst growth 28.3%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$130.78
(+27%)
Market implied 28.3%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$69.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$106.50
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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