OSIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSIS - OSI Systems Inc
$206.73
-11.36 (-5.21%)
▼
5d:
-9.44%
30d:
-3.57%
90d:
-0.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$358.99
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.90
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $206.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $212.42 to $230.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $186.50, while resistance sits at $239.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: OSIS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $298.14 (+44.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $186.50, while resistance sits at $239.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: OSIS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $298.14 (+44.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$212.42 -
$230.62
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 44.2% below Wall St target ($298.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$212.42 -
$230.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.50
Resistance Level
$239.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.07
Wall Street Target
$298.14
(+44.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$192.05
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$178.42
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$165.75
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$206.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$304.03
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$273.76
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$232.70
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.65
Bull Case
$317.26
(+54%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 27.7
Base Case
$288.42
(+40%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$148.30
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$257.39
(+24.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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