OSIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSIS - OSI Systems Inc
$221.39
1.47 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+2.16%
30d:
+3.02%
90d:
-22.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OSIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$360.67
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$223.95
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $221.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $212.67 to $219.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSIS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $298.14 (+34.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSIS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $298.14 (+34.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$212.67 -
$219.63
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.7% below Wall St target ($298.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$212.67 -
$219.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$205.87
Resistance Level
$224.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.39
Wall Street Target
$298.14
(+34.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 22.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$210.10
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$199.38
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$189.22
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$221.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$312.08
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 9.7%)
$291.89
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 9.7%)
$248.11
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.00
Bull Case
$306.91
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$279.01
(+26%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$149.55
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$259.19
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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