OSI Systems (OSIS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSIS - OSI Systems Inc
$196.62
2.25 (1.16%)
▲
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-5.71%
90d:
-11.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$347.82
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$215.97
9.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $196.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.26 to $206.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $190.24, while resistance sits at $205.15.
Market Sentiment: OSIS scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $278.29 (+41.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $190.24, while resistance sits at $205.15.
Market Sentiment: OSIS scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $278.29 (+41.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$197.26 -
$206.99
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($278.29)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$197.26 -
$206.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$190.24
Resistance Level
$205.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.19
Wall Street Target
$278.29
(+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$181.48
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$167.51
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$154.61
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→22)
$196.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$309.03
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$260.37
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 9.8%)
$221.32
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.96
Bull Case
$272.97
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$248.16
(+26%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$132.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$249.38
(+26.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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