OSI Systems (OSIS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSIS - OSI Systems Inc
$196.93
2.07 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+2.21%
30d:
-1.95%
90d:
-8.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OSIS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OSIS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$343.03
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$213.00
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $196.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.89 to $200.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $198.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSIS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $273.29 (+38.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $198.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSIS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $273.29 (+38.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$193.89 -
$200.16
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.8% below Wall St target ($273.29)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$193.89 -
$200.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$190.07
Resistance Level
$198.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.21
Wall Street Target
$273.29
(+38.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 21.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$182.75
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$169.59
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$157.38
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→22)
$196.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$300.85
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$260.78
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 9.8%)
$221.67
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.95
Bull Case
$273.97
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.8%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$249.06
(+27%)
Market implied 27.8%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$132.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$245.95
(+24.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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