OSI Systems (OSIS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OSIS - OSI Systems Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$196.62
2.25 (1.16%) ▲
5d: -2.32%
30d: -5.71%
90d: -11.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 26d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$347.82
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$215.97
9.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $196.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.26 to $206.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $190.24, while resistance sits at $205.15.

Market Sentiment: OSIS scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $278.29 (+41.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $197.26 - $206.99
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($278.29)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $197.26 - $206.99
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $190.24
Resistance Level $205.15
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.19
Wall Street Target $278.29 (+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.8%
Profit Margin 8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.2 vs 21.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $181.48 (-8%)
2-Year Target $167.51 (-15%)
3-Year Target $154.61 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→22) $196.10 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.8%) $309.03 (+57%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 9.8%) $260.37 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 14.6, Growth: 9.8%) $221.32 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.96
Bull Case $272.97 (+39%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case $248.16 (+26%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case $132.17 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 21.8
Stabilization Target: $249.38 (+26.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +26.8%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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