OSIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OSIS - OSI Systems Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$236.23
-0.87 (-0.37%) ▼
5d: +6.7%
30d: +9.04%
90d: -2.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.08
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.96
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OSIS is currently trading at $236.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.54 to $227.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OSIS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $240.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OSIS has a weak technical setup (0/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $298.14 (+26.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $211.54 - $227.20
Company Quality Score 22/100 (STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($298.14)
  • WARNING: Composite score 22/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $211.54 - $227.20
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $212.08
Resistance Level $240.90
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.69
Wall Street Target $298.14 (+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.9%
Profit Margin 8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.7 vs 22.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $229.38 (-3%)
2-Year Target $222.73 (-6%)
3-Year Target $216.27 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→23) $236.24 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%) $311.46 (+32%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.7%) $304.55 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 9.7%) $258.87 (+10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.75
Bull Case $340.34 (+44%)
Analyst growth 30.5%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case $309.40 (+31%)
Market implied 30.5%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case $161.23 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 22.6
Stabilization Target: $258.05 (+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.2%
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Last updated: August 08, 2026 5:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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