OXSQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXSQ - Oxford Square Capital Corp.
$1.41
0.01 (0.71%)
▲
5d:
-3.42%
30d:
-2.08%
90d:
+2.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OXSQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OXSQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.28
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.42
0.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXSQ is currently trading at $1.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.42 to $1.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXSQ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXSQ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$1.42 -
$1.52
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($1.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.42 -
$1.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.37
Resistance Level
$1.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.41
Wall Street Target
$1.75
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.8%
Profit Margin
-93.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.40
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$1.39
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$1.38
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$1.40
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$6.85
(+386%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 15.8%)
$2.19
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 15.8%)
$1.86
(+32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$1.43
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXSQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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