PAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAC - Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico, S.A.B. de C.V. Amer. Dep. Shares (each rep. 10 Ser. B shares)
$212.18
2.73 (1.30%)
â˛
5d:
+2.51%
30d:
-1.52%
90d:
-13.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.70
Based on -4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAC is currently trading at $212.18, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.18 to $220.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $203.24, while resistance sits at $222.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.34 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $203.24, while resistance sits at $222.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.34 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$210.18 -
$220.80
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($263.34)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with 3.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$210.18 -
$220.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.24
Resistance Level
$222.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.59
Wall Street Target
$263.34
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.4%
Profit Margin
30.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$221.52
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$231.26
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$241.44
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$211.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -13.2%)
$158.45
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: -13.2%)
$154.68
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: -13.2%)
$131.48
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.00
Bull Case
$226.83
(+7%)
Analyst growth -1.5%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$206.21
(-3%)
Market implied -1.5%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$142.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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