PAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAX - Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares
$11.46
0.15 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
-0.35%
30d:
+6.21%
90d:
+2.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When PAX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.88
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAX is currently trading at $11.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.91 to $11.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.57 (+37.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.57 (+37.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.91 -
$11.39
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.7% below Wall St target ($15.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.91 -
$11.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.06
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.42
Wall Street Target
$15.57
(+37.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.96
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.62
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$10.29
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$11.37
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$41.68
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$15.41
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$13.10
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$25.21
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$22.92
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$7.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$12.50
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$127 | 42 HOLD |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1314 | 44 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$50 | 51 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$153 | 42 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$142 | 48 HOLD |
