PECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$42.49
0.05 (0.12%)
▲
5d:
-2.39%
30d:
+2.24%
90d:
+5.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PECO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.15
Based on -8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $42.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.71 to $43.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 60.1) compared to its historical average (53.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.71 -
$43.25
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.46)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.71 -
$43.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.07
Resistance Level
$44.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
60.12
Wall Street Target
$45.46
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.2%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
60.1 vs 53.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.14
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$45.90
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$47.74
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60→53)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 60.1, Growth: -20.7%)
$30.94
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: -20.7%)
$10.71
(-75%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: -20.7%)
$9.10
(-79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 37.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$29.15
(-31%)
Analyst growth -38.1%, PE expands to 41.3
Base Case
$26.50
(-38%)
Market implied -38.1%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$29.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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