PECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$39.27
-0.16 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-3.04%
30d:
-7.99%
90d:
-3.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.13
Based on -7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $39.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.21 to $43.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 58.1) is in line with its historical norms (53.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.92 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.92 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.21 -
$43.20
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.21 -
$43.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.89
Resistance Level
$40.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
58.15
Wall Street Target
$45.92
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.2%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
58.2 vs 53.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.49
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$41.59
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$42.71
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 58→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 58.1, Growth: -19.4%)
$28.74
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -19.4%)
$9.92
(-75%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -19.4%)
$8.43
(-79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 34.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$26.09
(-34%)
Analyst growth -40.5%, PE expands to 38.5
Base Case
$23.72
(-40%)
Market implied -40.5%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$27.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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