Phillips Edison & (PECO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$38.41
-0.31 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
-1.97%
30d:
-4.31%
90d:
-7.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Get Alerted When PECO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.13
Based on -7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $38.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.87 to $40.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 56.6) is in line with its historical norms (54.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $38.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.62 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $38.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.62 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.87 -
$40.49
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.87 -
$40.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.26
Resistance Level
$39.62
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
56.64
Wall Street Target
$45.62
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.2%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
56.6 vs 54.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.02
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$39.65
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$40.28
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 57→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 56.6, Growth: -19.4%)
$28.00
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -19.4%)
$9.97
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -19.4%)
$8.48
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 33.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$25.33
(-34%)
Analyst growth -40.5%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$23.03
(-40%)
Market implied -40.5%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$26.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BRX
Brixmor Property |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$35 | 52 HOLD |
|
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$85 | 43 HOLD |
|
KIM
Kimco Realty Corporation |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$27 | 51 HOLD |
|
EPRT
Essential Properties Rea… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$37 | 36 SELL |
|
REG
Regency Centers Corporat… |
BUY
21 analysts |
$87 | 52 HOLD |
