PECO
Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
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Phillips Edison & (PECO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$41.13
-0.07 (-0.17%)
▼
5d:
-0.02%
30d:
+9.07%
90d:
+1.73%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
25/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$37.34 – $40.02
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
54.4x
FAIR
vs 54.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.23
+5.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.90 / $41.90
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PECO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.96
Based on -3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $41.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.34 to $40.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 54.4) is in line with its historical norms (54.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PECO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PECO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.34 -
$40.02
Company Quality Score
25/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$37.34 -
$40.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$37.90
Resistance Level
$41.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.38
Wall Street Target
$43.23
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.7%
Profit Margin
23.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
54.4 vs 54.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.21
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$41.29
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$41.38
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 54→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.4, Growth: -10.4%)
$29.98
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -10.4%)
$10.95
(-73%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -10.4%)
$9.31
(-77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$23.97
(-42%)
Analyst growth -47.1%, PE expands to 31.7
Base Case
$21.79
(-47%)
Market implied -47.1%, PE stable at 28.8
Bear Case
$28.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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