Phillips Edison & (PECO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$37.76
0.27 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
+0.99%
30d:
-3.7%
90d:
-9.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.13
Based on -7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $37.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.36 to $39.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 55.3) is in line with its historical norms (54.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PECO scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.85 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PECO scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.85 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.36 -
$39.23
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($44.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.36 -
$39.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.60
Resistance Level
$38.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
55.29
Wall Street Target
$44.85
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.2%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
55.3 vs 54.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.79
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$38.09
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$38.40
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 55.3, Growth: -19.4%)
$27.33
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -19.4%)
$10.08
(-73%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -19.4%)
$8.57
(-77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$24.43
(-35%)
Analyst growth -40.5%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$22.21
(-41%)
Market implied -40.5%, PE stable at 32.8
Bear Case
$25.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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