Phillips Edison & (PECO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$38.29
1.02 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
+0.87%
30d:
+4.28%
90d:
-12.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PECO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PECO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.33
Based on -6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $38.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.17 to $37.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 54.6) is in line with its historical norms (54.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.08 (+12.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.08 (+12.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.17 -
$37.97
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.17 -
$37.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.16
Resistance Level
$38.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.60
Wall Street Target
$43.08
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.2%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
54.6 vs 54.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.40
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$38.52
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$38.64
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.6, Growth: -17.0%)
$27.91
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -17.0%)
$10.15
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -17.0%)
$8.63
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$25.22
(-34%)
Analyst growth -38.5%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$22.93
(-40%)
Market implied -38.5%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$25.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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