Phillips Edison & (PECO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PECO - Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock
$37.05
-0.49 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
-0.78%
30d:
-5.19%
90d:
-11.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PECO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.13
Based on -7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PECO is currently trading at $37.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.21 to $38.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 54.6) is in line with its historical norms (54.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PECO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+18.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$37.21 -
$38.76
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($44.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.21 -
$38.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.65
Resistance Level
$38.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.64
Wall Street Target
$44.00
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
219.2%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
54.6 vs 54.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.16
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$37.27
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$37.38
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.6, Growth: -19.4%)
$27.01
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: -19.4%)
$9.74
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: -19.4%)
$8.28
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$24.56
(-34%)
Analyst growth -40.5%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$22.33
(-40%)
Market implied -40.5%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$25.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 07, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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