PKOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PKOH - Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
$37.05
0.16 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
+4.69%
30d:
+6.68%
90d:
+39.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PKOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PKOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.29
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $37.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.32 to $37.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$34.32 -
$37.66
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.7% growth with 3.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.32 -
$37.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.21
Resistance Level
$35.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.76
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 8.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.47
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$44.39
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$48.70
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.68
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$103.51
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$51.11
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 11.5%)
$38.50
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.75
Bull Case
$78.13
(+112%)
Analyst growth 96.0%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$71.03
(+93%)
Market implied 96.0%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$24.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 10:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2400 shares
2026-03-16
Ronna Romney
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-12
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