RRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRX - Regal Rexnord Corporation

GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT, NEC
$205.23
2.64 (1.30%) ▲
5d: -3.53%
30d: -10.52%
90d: -4.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RRX is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$394.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$245.10
16.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRX is currently trading at $205.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.52 to $223.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $186.12, while resistance sits at $217.57.

Market Sentiment: RRX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.60 (+28.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $204.52 - $223.92
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($262.60)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $204.52 - $223.92
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $186.12
Resistance Level $217.57
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.19
Wall Street Target $262.60 (+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 11.6%
Profit Margin 4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 15.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $205.85 (+0%)
2-Year Target $206.46 (+1%)
3-Year Target $207.08 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) PE COMPRESSION $204.54 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 27.0%) $573.20 (+179%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 27.0%) $419.93 (+105%)
Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: 27.0%) $356.94 (+74%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.29
Bull Case $445.70 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.0
Base Case $405.18 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.2
Bear Case $137.76 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Rehard SELL 968 shares 2026-02-25
Robert Rehard SELL 1289 shares 2026-02-24
Cheryl Lewis SELL 2262 shares 2026-02-09

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