RY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RY - Royal Bank of Canada
$202.16
-0.77 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
+0.51%
30d:
+6.56%
90d:
+24.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.32
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RY is currently trading at $202.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.40 to $200.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $198.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $198.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$188.40 -
$200.19
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($190.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$188.40 -
$200.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.42
Resistance Level
$198.57
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.50
Wall Street Target
$190.45
(-5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Profit Margin
33.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$210.65
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$219.50
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$228.72
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$202.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$500.74
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 9.3%)
$264.28
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$224.64
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.85
Bull Case
$361.82
(+79%)
Analyst growth 62.1%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$328.93
(+63%)
Market implied 62.1%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$137.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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