SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$10.22
-0.08 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
-6.24%
30d:
-14.19%
90d:
-25.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAMG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAMG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.15
27.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $10.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.71 to $11.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAMG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+95.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAMG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+95.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.71 -
$11.64
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 95.7% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.71 -
$11.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.68
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.36
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+95.7%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.77
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$9.34
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$8.93
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$10.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 87.5%)
$66.16
(+547%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 87.5%)
$34.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 87.5%)
$29.32
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$22.66
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$20.60
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$7.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$11.70
(+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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