SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$11.10
-0.48 (-4.15%)
▼
5d:
-1.68%
30d:
-15.53%
90d:
-28.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAMG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAMG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.26
22.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $11.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.51 to $13.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SAMG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+80.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SAMG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+80.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.51 -
$13.22
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 80.2% below Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.51 -
$13.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.05
Resistance Level
$12.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.33
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+80.2%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.88
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$10.66
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$10.45
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$11.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 87.5%)
$66.55
(+500%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 87.5%)
$37.46
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 87.5%)
$31.84
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$24.84
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$22.58
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$7.68
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$11.79
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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