SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$10.45
-0.26 (-2.43%)
▼
5d:
+2.96%
30d:
-6.19%
90d:
-19.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAMG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAMG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.04
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $10.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.28 to $11.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+91.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+91.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.28 -
$11.00
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 91.4% below Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.28 -
$11.00
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.68
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.61
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+91.4%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.4%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.09
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.75
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$9.42
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$10.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 87.5%)
$66.16
(+533%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 87.5%)
$35.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 87.5%)
$29.98
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$23.56
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$21.42
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$7.28
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.61
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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