SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$10.54
0.05 (0.48%)
▲
5d:
+2.33%
30d:
+5.61%
90d:
+3.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAMG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAMG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.09
25.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $10.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.63 to $10.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAMG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+70.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAMG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+70.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.63 -
$10.36
Company Quality Score
25/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.8% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.63 -
$10.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.09
Resistance Level
$10.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.21
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+70.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.5%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.19
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.86
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$9.53
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$10.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 118.6%)
$64.72
(+514%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 118.6%)
$35.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 118.6%)
$30.24
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.95
Bull Case
$12.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$10.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$8.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.66
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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