SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$10.03
0.21 (2.14%)
â˛
5d:
-1.47%
30d:
-1.08%
90d:
-15.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAMG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAMG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.43
30.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $10.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.92 to $10.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.63, while resistance sits at $10.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+79.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.63, while resistance sits at $10.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+79.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.92 -
$10.32
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.5% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.92 -
$10.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.63
Resistance Level
$10.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.67
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+79.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.5%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.47
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.94
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$8.44
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â13)
$10.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 118.6%)
$63.67
(+535%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 118.6%)
$33.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 118.6%)
$28.77
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.90
Bull Case
$12.11
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$10.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$7.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.94
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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