SAMG
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
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SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.17
+0.15 (+1.36%)
▲
5d:
+1.73%
30d:
+9.4%
90d:
+9.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$10.26 – $10.90
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x
FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.00
+61.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.35 / $11.43
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAMG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.87
19.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $11.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.26 to $10.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $11.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAMG scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+61.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $11.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAMG scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+61.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.26 -
$10.90
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.26 -
$10.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$10.35
Resistance Level
$11.43
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.1% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.88
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+61.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.06
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.95
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$10.84
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$11.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 118.6%)
$63.01
(+464%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 118.6%)
$37.70
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 118.6%)
$32.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.00
Bull Case
$13.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$11.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$8.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$11.47
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share SAMG Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SAMG)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 20, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message from a user with 42 followers suggests buying $SAMG between 13.31 and 13.00 with resistance at 13.50, 13.84, 13.97, and 14.02.
Key Retail Themes:
Buy zone for $SAMG
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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