SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$9.95
-0.05 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-1.0%
90d:
-9.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAMG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAMG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.32
30.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $9.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.96 to $10.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+80.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+80.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.96 -
$10.19
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 80.9% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.96 -
$10.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.69
Resistance Level
$10.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.59
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+80.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.5%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.40
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.89
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$8.40
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$10.00
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 118.6%)
$63.99
(+543%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 118.6%)
$33.58
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 118.6%)
$28.54
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.89
Bull Case
$12.01
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$9.95
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$7.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$11.84
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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