SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$10.12
-0.51 (-4.80%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.66%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
-3.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAMG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAMG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.98
27.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $10.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.74 to $10.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+77.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+77.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.74 -
$10.59
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.9% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.74 -
$10.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.93
Resistance Level
$10.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.77
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+77.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.5%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.68
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$9.27
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$8.87
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â12)
$10.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 118.6%)
$63.01
(+523%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 118.6%)
$34.16
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 118.6%)
$29.03
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.91
Bull Case
$12.22
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$10.12
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$7.74
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$11.56
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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