SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$10.47
0.19 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
+0.34%
30d:
-0.57%
90d:
-20.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAMG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAMG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.93
24.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $10.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.94 to $10.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+91.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+91.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.94 -
$10.67
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 91.0% below Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.94 -
$10.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.57
Resistance Level
$10.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.63
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+91.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.5%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.15
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.83
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$9.53
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$10.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 87.5%)
$62.97
(+501%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 87.5%)
$35.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 87.5%)
$30.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.33
Bull Case
$21.78
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$19.80
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$6.73
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$11.52
(+10.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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