SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$78.83
-0.81 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
+0.59%
30d:
+6.93%
90d:
-4.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.72
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $78.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.03 to $77.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.03 -
$77.71
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($96.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.03 -
$77.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.41
Resistance Level
$77.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.31
Wall Street Target
$96.33
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.20
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$77.57
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$76.95
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$78.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$133.21
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.3%)
$105.87
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 10.3%)
$89.99
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$102.39
(+30%)
Analyst growth 20.2%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$93.08
(+18%)
Market implied 20.2%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$52.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$80.60
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 3:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tony Coelho
SELL
7700 shares
2026-03-10
Tammy R Moore
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-13
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