SCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCL - Stepan Co.
$64.14
-0.93 (-1.43%)
▼
5d:
+11.41%
30d:
+14.93%
90d:
+28.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCL trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SCL trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.33
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCL is currently trading at $64.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.02 to $60.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.28, while resistance sits at $66.75.
Market Sentiment: SCL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.28, while resistance sits at $66.75.
Market Sentiment: SCL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$55.02 -
$60.71
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($75.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.0% growth expectation is conservative given 102% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.02 -
$60.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.28
Resistance Level
$66.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.38
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.6%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 13.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.99
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$72.07
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$76.39
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 54.4%)
$273.91
(+327%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 54.4%)
$216.47
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 54.4%)
$182.34
(+184%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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