Stepan (SCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCL - Stepan Co.
$63.90
0.71 (1.12%)
▲
5d:
+2.87%
30d:
-0.75%
90d:
+10.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.14
1.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCL is currently trading at $63.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.33 to $63.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCL scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.00 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCL scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.00 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.33 -
$63.56
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
41th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 41th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($85.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.9% growth expectation is conservative given 102% recent growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.33 -
$63.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.98
(6.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.19
Resistance Level
$64.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.32
Wall Street Target
$85.00
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.6%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 14.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.67
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$71.66
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$75.89
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.2%)
$189.16
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 37.2%)
$164.94
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 37.2%)
$139.06
(+118%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SCL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCL price and gamma walls.
