SCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCM - STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPORATION
$8.65
0.01 (0.12%)
â˛
5d:
-1.48%
30d:
+22.87%
90d:
-4.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SCM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.99
Based on -31.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCM is currently trading at $8.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.31 to $8.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.24, while resistance sits at $8.97.
Market Sentiment: SCM scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.12 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.24, while resistance sits at $8.97.
Market Sentiment: SCM scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.12 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.31 -
$8.66
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.31 -
$8.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.24
Resistance Level
$8.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.41
Wall Street Target
$10.13
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.2%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.45
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$8.18
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$7.92
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$8.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -67.0%)
$20.42
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -67.0%)
$8.56
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -67.0%)
$7.27
(-17%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$9.51
(+10%)
Analyst growth 0.8%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$8.65
(0%)
Market implied 0.8%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$5.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$9.65
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert T Ladd
BUY
1700 shares
2026-03-16
Bruce R Bilger
BUY
45490 shares
2026-03-13
Robert T Ladd
BUY
35000 shares
2026-03-13
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$127 | 42 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong SustainâĻ |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 51 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global ManagementâĻ |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$153 | 42 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$143 | 48 HOLD |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$13 | 48 HOLD |
