SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share

Services-Miscellaneous Business Services
$117.53
0.29 (0.25%) ▲
5d: -3.62%
30d: +18.12%
90d: +32.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.56
2.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $117.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.43 to $119.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $113.30, while resistance sits at $131.94.

Market Sentiment: SE scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.29 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $104.43 - $119.72
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($155.29)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.1% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $104.43 - $119.72
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $113.30
Resistance Level $131.94
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.17
Wall Street Target $155.29 (+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 48.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.7%
Profit Margin 5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.1% premium
PE vs Historical 23.2 vs 19.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $126.37 (+6%)
2-Year Target $134.07 (+13%)
3-Year Target $142.25 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→19) PE COMPRESSION $119.09 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.2, Growth: 37.2%) $307.50 (+158%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 37.2%) $266.31 (+124%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 37.2%) $226.36 (+90%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case $253.77 (+116%)
Analyst growth 98.4%, PE expands to 49.4
Base Case $230.70 (+96%)
Market implied 98.4%, PE stable at 44.9
Bear Case $79.06 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye SELL 10000 shares 2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang SELL 800 shares 2026-04-22
Jingye Chen SELL 800 shares 2026-04-22

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