SHW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHW - The Sherwin-Williams Company
$316.90
-3.89 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
+2.99%
90d:
+4.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SHW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SHW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$495.62
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$307.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHW is currently trading at $316.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $299.57 to $315.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.9) is in line with its historical norms (25.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $315.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $372.95 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $315.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $372.95 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$299.57 -
$315.78
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($372.95)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$299.57 -
$315.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$289.86
Resistance Level
$315.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.93
Wall Street Target
$372.95
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 25.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$311.20
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$305.59
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$300.09
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→25)
$316.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$455.78
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$414.83
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$352.60
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.43
Bull Case
$448.03
(+41%)
Analyst growth 27.0%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$407.30
(+29%)
Market implied 27.0%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$218.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.9 to 25.2
Stabilization Target:
$333.71
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Bryan J Young
SELL
2513 shares
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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