SIGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIGA - SIGA Technologies Inc.
$3.06
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
-5.85%
90d:
-34.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.96
38.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIGA is currently trading at $3.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.94 to $3.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.8) compared to its historical average (3.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SIGA scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.53 (+472.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SIGA scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.53 (+472.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.94 -
$3.31
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 472.9% below Wall St target ($17.53)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.94 -
$3.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.88
Resistance Level
$3.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.83
Wall Street Target
$17.53
(+472.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-49.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.3%
Profit Margin
-5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.8 vs 3.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.78
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$2.52
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$2.28
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$3.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2060.0%)
$73.16
(+2291%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.8, Growth: 2060.0%)
$10.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.4, Growth: 2060.0%)
$8.78
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.8 to 3.8
Stabilization Target:
$4.10
(+34.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 30, 2026 6:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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