SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$99.26
4.82 (5.10%)
▲
5d:
-2.05%
30d:
-11.68%
90d:
-20.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$233.55
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.01
31.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $99.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.98 to $111.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $90.07, while resistance sits at $104.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.08 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $90.07, while resistance sits at $104.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.08 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$99.98 -
$111.86
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($127.08)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.98 -
$111.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.07
Resistance Level
$104.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.30
Wall Street Target
$127.08
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 25.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.02
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$83.47
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$76.54
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→25)
$99.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 21.7%)
$192.09
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 21.7%)
$178.82
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 21.7%)
$152.00
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$146.40
(+48%)
Analyst growth 40.9%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$133.09
(+34%)
Market implied 40.9%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$64.22
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$128.59
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Elema
SELL
1765 shares
2026-02-13
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